simplechurch.co.uk

what do you reckon?

How many people do you think are now gathering in small/organic/home/simple type settings here in the UK? I heard someone recently (I'm checking up on this before I say who) saying there could be around 45,000.

I'm currently attempting to make some guestimates based on what I have discovered in a number of towns and cities across the country. So far I am working on a low estimate of 10,000 people and a high estimate of 100,000. With apparently over a million believers now outside the existing church structures this represents just 10% of those.

What do you reckon? Any suggestions welcomed.

posted by alexander @ 4:55 PM 2 comments

2 Comments:

I'm playing around with those figures; I know you can make them say anything, but this is interesting:
Lets say that just 5% of the 1 million who have left the existing church structures are now meeting in small organic groups; so there are 50,000 meeting in 3,333 'churches' (average of 15 per church); then say that just 5% of those churches (166) carried within them the DNA for multiplication. What would that look like after 10 years if each church only multiplied itself just once a year? There would be almost 85,000 churches with more than 1.2 million people involved!!

By alexander, at 5:14 PM

It was Alan Hirsch who used the 45,000 number. Where did he get it from? A mutual friend. Where did the mutual friend get it from? Me! Now that's scary!

By alexander, at 8:37 AM

emerging church, emergent, simple church, house church, home church.

2 Comments:

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